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Semi-annually I like to touch on the perpetually hot topic in residential real estate – interest rates. Past Blog Post and Conclusions The last time I wrote a blog post on interest rates was back in March titled “California Interest Rates are Rising – Should You Buy Now?” I highly encourage you to read that last post because it debunks the myth that when interest rates go up, prices go down. And, vice versa. Essentially, per the data, interest rate movement does not dictate whether we go up or down in price. They are a potential contributor to a multitude of factors, but you can never “bet the house” on interest rate moves correlating directly with
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I recently received a lot of feedback on last week’s blog post titled “Why I am Selling My South Bay Residential Income Property.” There was some good feedback and a lot of great comments. Below are a few examples of questions and comments I received: “If you own at such a low basis, your returns are much higher…so why the heck would you sell?” “I only want to invest in real estate and have been sitting in cash for two years. Thanks for the post and I will continue to wait.” “What are you going to buy with the proceeds that justify taking such a big tax hit?” All of these comments and questions are excellent
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With the amazing price growth in Southern California real estate, I have clients lined up who are ready to buy their first income property and clients who want to continue adding to their portfolio. I know a lot of great agents that would scour the market for the best deal and be glad to sell someone an income property right away. For me and my clients, I suggest that they wait. In my opinion, there will be a better time to buy an income property down the road. As a full-time real estate broker and investor myself, I want to share my reasoning with everyone in this latest post. The Market Feels Stretched As many of
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For the last few years, I have taken great pride in writing a South Bay real estate blog post each and every week. I have made it a priority to post during the busiest times for our company while serving our clients, posting over the holiday season, and yes, even posting over my wedding/honeymoon month (I pre-wrote those blogs). This week, I am throwing in the towel and giving myself the grace of missing one post for the first time in a very long time. On July 9th, Nicole and I welcomed in our first child, baby boy March Haynes. We have never known a love like this until March entered our world. March’s birth has
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The old Realtor adage “Interest rates are rising – go out and buy now!” is oftentimes a misguided statement for most buyers. For this week’s blog post, I want to address this proclamation and why more often than not, it is not accurate. Everyone’s financial goals are different and interest rates should never be the one driver behind buying a home. Interest Rate Realtor Claims Take a look at this chart below that has been flying around social media: Source: The Romanski Group I have seen variations of this chart posted over the years. Whoever created this graphic was very smart to target specific buyers in order to sell more real estate. That said, buyers need
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Bruce Norris is generally regarded as one of the best California residential real estate forecasters. Not only is he self-taught in real estate economics and data, but he is also a real estate investor himself. He is a great source because he depends on his own predictions to correctly make decisions for his business. For further background, check out a previous blog post I wrote on Bruce Norris predictions here. Bruce Norris Event This last weekend I attended Bruce’s event, “California Real Estate: On Borrowed Time” in Riverside. Upon arrival we received a 250-page book with hundreds of different charts, illustrating that he really does his homework. These charts provided data on various topics such as
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Happy New Year! As we begin 2019, I am starting to make my annual predictions blog for the year. Until, then, I wanted to explore a few topics relevant to the New Year. Real Estate in January In my opinion, January is always a funky month in residential real estate as buyers and sellers are returning from the holidays and vacations. I believe there are great opportunities for both sides during this time, you just have to play your cards right. Buyers For buyers, January is a great month to score a deal. Here are a few reasons… Most buyers are focused on New Year’s resolutions and returning from vacation. Competition is still very low until
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Every January I write my fearless predictions for the South Bay real estate market in the upcoming year. As the year comes to an end, I like to hold myself accountable and show readers how my predictions actually turned out. If you want to refresh your memory, check out my predictions for 2018 here. Let’s see how I did… Prediction Recap: Mortgage Rates Will Rise Moderately Prediction: I predict a rise of about 0.25% with a maximum jump of 0.5% before The Fed would step in to get rates under control. Recap: I was a little off, but, by year end, I could be close depending on where rates end up. According to FRED (Federal Reserve
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As we approach the end of the year, I thought it would be beneficial to review sales and median prices from 2018. This data includes median income and how it relates to affordability. South Bay Median Prices and Closed Sales Home sales are down, not just in California, but all over the nation. Median price increases are also decelerating. How is this impacting the South Bay market? Take a look at these numbers from November YTD (year-to-date). Every area mentioned above shows that sales are down in 2018. In my opinion, this is a direct result of rising interest rates pushing buyers to the sidelines. On the flip side, every area shows that prices are up.
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Earlier this year, our office was buzzing with excitement over the new real estate Opportunity Zones created by the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) of 2017. This section of the TCJA was created to help under-served communities attract investment capital. Now, here at Manhattan Pacific Realty most of our business is focused on South Bay home sales, so Opportunity Zones was never a big topic of conversation among our clients. However, it seems people who normally wouldn’t be interested in this topic (local developers, homeowners, beginning investors) are now more interested since the tax benefits are significant. This brings me to today’s blog. Due to the heightened interest, I wanted to give readers some insight
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